How the EU budgetary context is likely to shape the CAP after 2020
Processors smooth milk prices over the cycle and farmers seem to get a fair market price.
Farmers would prefer a fixed CAP budget to be spent on an income stabilisation tool rather than direct payments.
How should the EU respond to the UK’s proposals for customs co-operation after Brexit?
Re-introducing tariffs on UK-EU trade would significantly reduce trade in certain sectors including foodstuffs
The EU-Brazil WTO proposal on domestic support and public stockholding is a significant step.
Direct payments do not necessarily go to the most environmental friendly farms.
CDU/CSU manifesto for German election in September lays out some objectives for the future CAP.
Avoiding the ‘cliff edge’: Immediate trade arrangements post-Brexit need to be given higher priority in Article 50 negotiations
The EU needs to give greater priority to immediate post-Brexit trade arrangements in the Article 50 negotiations
2016 was an average year for EU-28 farm income, but individual Member States experienced very different trends
UK Conservative Party manifesto confirms course for a ‘hard’ Brexit
That 131,000 farms receive one-third of the direct payments budget cannot be justified.
Using agricultural policy to create jobs has a clear opportunity cost which must be factored into decision-making.
RISE Foundation report argues for significant changes in the way the CAP budget is spent.
The Basic Payment may encourage some farmers to adopt an easy life, but it also facilitates efficiency-improving investment
Conflicting evidence whether CAP has helped to retain jobs in agriculture
COMAGRI co-rapporteur on the Omnibus Regulation explains reasons for his amendments
Around one-third of EU farm holdings are economically vulnerable, indicating potential for significant structural change
Conclusions from March 2017 AGRIFISH Council meeting indicate support for return to aspects of the old CAP.
Some of De Castro’s proposed amendments to the Omnibus Regulation will likely prove controversial.
Brexit provides the UK with an opportunity to redesign its agricultural policy along more sensible lines.
The Commission Communication on modernising and simplifying the CAP will likely focus on limited amendments to the current CAP basic acts.
GM decision-making remains paralysed and Brexit will not help to resolve the deadlock.
Possible outcomes for UK domestic support commitments in its WTO schedule after Brexit
Unless the UK can be persuaded to stay in the EU customs union, the value of Irish agri-food trade would suffer a swingeing cut.
Why further reform of the CAP is needed now
The clock is ticking for those Member States/regions which have yet to submit their revised Areas with Natural Constraints delineations.
COMAGRI sets out its views on how it intends to approach the Commission’s proposals on reform of the CAP basic acts.
Revisions to the CAP basic acts in the coming years will likely be incremental, with a major rethink put off to 2022 or 2023.
A proposal for a post-Brexit agricultural land management policy
How might direct payments be reformed in the next iteration of the CAP?
Bibliography of documents relating to the CAP post 2020.
The future of direct payments will be one of the topics discussed at COMAGRI hearing on CAP post 2020 next week.
Commission 2017 Work Programme includes DG AGRI paper on future policy priorities for the CAP
Commission impact assessment of proposed Effort Sharing Regulation may have deliberately down-played scope for agricultural mitigation
Impact assessment indicates no additional agricultural mitigation required to achieve EU 2030 climate targets
EU agricultural policy is increasingly shaped by external forces and objectives, and this will continue to be the case after 2020
Calculations showing the impact of Brexit on the net budget balances of the remaining Member States
Senior Commission advisor Karl Falkenberg’s views on what a sustainable CAP would look like.
Ranking direct payments by farm income shows that the 750,000 farms with the highest farm incomes receive 55% of all payments
Germany and the Netherlands will be the main losers if CAP spending is maintained after Brexit.
Evaluating the impact of the voluntary milk supply reduction programme must take into account slippage and the opportunity cost of milk not delivered.
Determining the UK’s share of the EU’s trade-distorting domestic support ceiling after Brexit will depend partly on the allocation key but also the amount to which it is applied.
Even with goodwill, we may not be able to avoid the re-imposition of tariffs on trade between the UK and the EU after Brexit
Over on the ARC2020 website, they are having a debate on the #MilkCrisis to which I was asked to contribute. Below is my contribution to that debate. “The weighted average milk price for the EU-28 in May was 26.6 c/litre, a price last seen during the last trough in the price cycle in 2009 when [...]
The British people in their referendum yesterday expressed their wish to leave the European Union. It is a decision I deeply regret. I believe it will have negative consequences for the UK in terms of economic growth and possibly constitutional stability. For the EU, it is not possible now to foresee the longer-term consequences. At [...]
The high dependence of Irish family farm income on public support must give pause for thought.
The Greenpeace leak of the consolidated text of the TTIP SPS chapter shows how unwarranted the fuss about TTIP and food safety has been.